A new analysis from Policy Exchange lays bare the widespread disruption that BMA strikes, scheduled to begin on Friday 25th July, could cause to patients.
The analysis – based on an investigation of data published on industrial action by NHS England from 2023/4 suggests that almost a quarter of a million appointments across the NHS in England will be affected at the end of July alone.
Were strikes to occur throughout 2025 (and until January 2026 when the current BMA strike mandate runs out), at a similar frequency and level of disruption to those which occurred between 2023-4, Policy Exchange suggest over 2 million appointments across the NHS in England could be impacted.
Policy Exchange estimate that strikes could reduce inpatient activity for the month of July overall by 4.5% and outpatient activity by 8.7%, threatening the ability for NHS England to meet its target for 65% of patient ‘pathways’ to be completed within 18 weeks from next Spring.
The report estimates that if NHS Trusts spent similar amounts paying consultants to cover rotas over strike days in July 2025 (as was the case between March-April 2023), the total cost in England alone could be £17.5 million on each strike day. That would total £87.46 million over the course of proposed strikes in July and more than £367.46 million over the course of 2025 overall.